Moondragon21: /* SNP */
{{short description|none}}{{Use dmy dates|date=May 2024}}
The [[next United Kingdom general election]] will be held before 28 January 2025. These are the target seats for each of the political parties, according to results from the [[2019 United Kingdom general election|previous election in 2017]].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Leach |first=Anna |last2=Hoog |first2=Niels de |title=UK general election: the seats the Tories will lose if the polls are right |url=https://www.theguardian.com/politic...l-election-uk-opinion-polls-seats-tories-lose |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=the Guardian |language=en}}</ref> Due to boundary changes following the [[2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies]], these target seats are determined by the [[Notional results of the 2019 United Kingdom general election by 2024 constituency|notional results of the previous election]] using the [[List of United Kingdom Parliament constituencies (2024 to present) by region|new constituencies]] as if they were contested in 2019.<ref>{{Cite web |date=2024-01-16 |title=List of general election top target seats, by party |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/snp-lab-conservatives-liberal-democrats-labour-b2479218.html |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=The Independent |language=en}}</ref>
== List by party ==
=== Conservative ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Conservative Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/conservative |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/2024040...lling.co.uk/battleground/targets/conservative |archive-date=7 April 2024 |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Warrington South (UK Parliament constituency)|Warrington South]]{{refn|Warrington South was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Labour seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.06%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Coventry North West (UK Parliament constituency)|Coventry North West]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.22%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Kensington and Bayswater (UK Parliament constituency)|Kensington and Bayswater]]{{refn|[[Kensington (UK Parliament constituency)|Kensington]] was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Labour seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.36%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Alyn and Deeside (UK Parliament constituency)|Alyn and Deeside]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.39%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Wirral West (UK Parliament constituency)|Wirral West]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.41%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Beckenham and Penge (UK Parliament constituency)|Beckenham and Penge]]{{refn|[[Beckenham (UK Parliament constituency)|Beckenham]] was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Labour seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.52%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Heywood and Middleton North (UK Parliament constituency)|Heywood and Middleton North]]{{refn|[[Heywood and Middleton (UK Parliament constituency)|Heywood and Middleton]] was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Labour seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.80%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Dagenham and Rainham (UK Parliament constituency)|Dagenham and Rainham]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.80%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Coventry South (UK Parliament constituency)|Coventry South]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.86%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Warwick and Leamington (UK Parliament constituency)|Warwick and Leamington]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.12%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Bedford (UK Parliament constituency)|Bedford]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.19%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (UK Parliament constituency)|Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.31%
|
|
|-
|13
|[[Doncaster Central (UK Parliament constituency)|Doncaster Central]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.38%
|
|
|-
|14
|[[Ceredigion Preseli (UK Parliament constituency)|Ceredigion Preseli]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}{{refn|[[Preseli Pembrokeshire (UK Parliament constituency)|Preseli Pembrokeshire]] was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Plaid Cymru seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Plaid Cymru}}" |
|[[Plaid Cymru]]
|1.40%
|
|
|-
|15
|[[Rawmarsh and Conisbrough (UK Parliament constituency)|Rawmarsh and Conisbrough]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.55%
|
|
|-
|16
|[[Chesterfield (UK Parliament constituency)|Chesterfield]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.61%
|
|
|-
|17
|[[Oldham East and Saddleworth (UK Parliament constituency)|Oldham East and Saddleworth]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.62%
|
|
|-
|18
|[[Warrington North (UK Parliament constituency)|Warrington North]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.63%
|
|
|-
|19
|[[Canterbury (UK Parliament constituency)|Canterbury]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.89%
|
|
|-
|20
|[[Halifax (UK Parliament constituency)|Halifax]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.99%
|
|
|}
=== Labour ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Labour Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/labour |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/2024041...tionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/labour |archive-date=10 April 2024 |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Burnley (UK Parliament constituency)|Burnley]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.13%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Leigh and Atherton (UK Parliament constituency)|Leigh and Atherton]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.33%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[High Peak (UK Parliament constituency)|High Peak]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.54%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Bangor Aberconwy (UK Parliament constituency)|Bangor Aberconwy]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.77%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Wolverhampton West (UK Parliament constituency)|Wolverhampton West]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.92%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Bury South (UK Parliament constituency)|Bury South]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.94%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Bury North (UK Parliament constituency)|Bury North]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.20%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Bolton North East (UK Parliament constituency)|Bolton North East]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.28%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Watford (UK Parliament constituency)|Watford]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.35%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Chingford and Woodford Green (UK Parliament constituency)|Chingford and Woodford Green]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.47%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Wycombe (UK Parliament constituency)|Wycombe]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.58%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Birmingham Northfield (UK Parliament constituency)|Birmingham Northfield]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.68%
|
|
|-
|13
|[[Leeds North West (UK Parliament constituency)|Leeds North West]]{{refn|Leeds North West was won by Labour in 2019, but is notionally a Conservative seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.80%
|
|
|-
|14
|[[Stroud (UK Parliament constituency)|Stroud]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.03%
|
|
|-
|15
|[[Keighley and Ilkley (UK Parliament constituency)|Keighley and Ilkley]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.11%
|
|
|-
|16
|[[Stoke-on-Trent Central (UK Parliament constituency)|Stoke-on-Trent Central]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.11%
|
|
|-
|17
|[[East Lothian (UK Parliament constituency)|East Lothian]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|2.15%
|
|
|-
|18
|[[Whitehaven and Workington (UK Parliament constituency)|Whitehaven and Workington]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.17%
|
|
|-
|19
|[[Gedling (UK Parliament constituency)|Gedling]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.22%
|
|
|-
|20
|[[Walsall and Bloxwich (UK Parliament constituency)|Walsall and Bloxwich]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.40%
|
|
|}
=== Liberal Democrats ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Liberal Democrat Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/liberal-democrat |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/2024040...g.co.uk/battleground/targets/liberal-democrat |archive-date=7 April 2024 |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Carshalton and Wallington (UK Parliament constituency)|Carshalton and Wallington]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.64%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[North East Fife (UK Parliament constituency)|North East Fife]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|0.70%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Wimbledon (UK Parliament constituency)|Wimbledon]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.74%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Sheffield Hallam (UK Parliament constituency)|Sheffield Hallam]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.92%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[South Cambridgeshire (UK Parliament constituency)|South Cambridgeshire]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.25%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Cheltenham (UK Parliament constituency)|Cheltenham]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.25%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Mid Dunbartonshire (UK Parliament constituency)|Mid Dunbartonshire]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|1.69%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Cheadle (UK Parliament constituency)|Cheadle]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.09%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Eastbourne (UK Parliament constituency)|Eastbourne]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.11%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross (UK Parliament constituency)|Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross]]{{refn|Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross was won by the Liberal Democrats in 2019, but is notionally an SNP seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|2.64%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Esher and Walton (UK Parliament constituency)|Esher and Walton]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.68%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Guildford (UK Parliament constituency)|Guildford]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.96%
|
|
|-
|13
|[[Lewes (UK Parliament constituency)|Lewes]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|3.71%
|
|
|-
|14
|[[Hazel Grove (UK Parliament constituency)|Hazel Grove]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.18%
|
|
|-
|15
|[[Westmorland and Lonsdale (UK Parliament constituency)|Westmorland and Lonsdale]]{{refn|Westmorland and Lonsdale was won by the Liberal Democrats in 2019, but is notionally a Conservative seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.74%
|
|
|-
|16
|[[St Ives (UK Parliament constituency)|St Ives]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.85%
|
|
|-
|17
|[[Finchley and Golders Green (UK Parliament constituency)|Finchley and Golders Green]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|5.98%
|
|
|-
|18
|[[Cities of London and Westminster (UK Parliament constituency)|Cities of London and Westminster]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|6.05%
|
|
|-
|19
|[[Winchester (UK Parliament constituency)|Winchester]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|7.08%
|
|
|-
|20
|[[Taunton and Wellington (UK Parliament constituency)|Taunton and Wellington]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|7.84%
|
|
|}
=== Reform UK ===
The target seats for [[Reform UK]] come from the results the [[Brexit party|Brexit Party]] had.<ref>{{Cite news |date=2024-02-16 |title=Could Reform UK surge sink Tory election hopes? |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-68314949 |access-date=2024-05-05 |work=BBC News |language=en-GB}}</ref> The party didn't contest Conservative held seats so their target seats based on the 2019 result are primarily in [[North East England]] and [[Wales]].<ref>{{Cite news |last=Penna |first=Dominic |last2=Corfe |first2=Ollie |date=2024-02-28 |title=Six graphs that show Reform UK could be kingmakers at the election |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politic...l-farage-general-election-richard-tice-polls/ |access-date=2024-05-05 |work=The Telegraph |language=en-GB |issn=0307-1235}}</ref>
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Reform UK]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Reform UK Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/reform-uk |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Barnsley North (UK Parliament constituency)|Barnsley North]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|4.50%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Hartlepool (UK Parliament constituency)|Hartlepool]]{{refn|Hartlepool was won by the Conservatives in the [[2021 Hartlepool by-election]]|name=BE|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|5.92%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Barnsley South (UK Parliament constituency)|Barnsley South]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|6.29%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Doncaster North (UK Parliament constituency)|Doncaster North]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|12.82%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Easington (UK Parliament constituency)|Easington]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|14.31%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[South Shields (UK Parliament constituency)|South Shields]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|14.70%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Rotherham (UK Parliament constituency)|Rotherham]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.07%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Normanton and Hemsworth (UK Parliament constituency)|Normanton and Hemsworth]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.19%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney (UK Parliament constituency)|Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.20%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Houghton and Sunderland South (UK Parliament constituency)|Houghton and Sunderland South]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.81%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Caerphilly (UK Parliament constituency)|Caerphilly]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.85%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Kingston upon Hull East (UK Parliament constituency)|Kingston upon Hull East]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|17.46%
|
|
|-
|13
|[[Wigan (UK Parliament constituency)|Wigan]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|18.55%
|
|
|-
|14
|[[Pontypridd (UK Parliament constituency)|Pontypridd]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.09%
|
|
|-
|15
|[[Neath and Swansea East (UK Parliament constituency)|Neath and Swansea East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.38%
|
|
|-
|16
|[[Washington and Gateshead South (UK Parliament constituency)|Washington and Gateshead South]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.60%
|
|
|-
|17
|[[Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (UK Parliament constituency)|Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.77%
|
|
|-
|18
|[[Jarrow and Gateshead East (UK Parliament constituency)|Jarrow and Gateshead East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.84%
|
|
|-
|19
|[[Torfaen (UK Parliament constituency)|Torfaen]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|20.12%
|
|
|-
|20
|[[Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice (UK Parliament constituency)|Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}{{refn|[[Kingston upon Hull West (UK Parliament constituency)|Hull West]] was won by Labour in 2019, but is notionally an Conservative seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|20.31%
|
|
|}
=== SNP ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Scottish National Party]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=SNP Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/snp |access-date= |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine (UK Parliament constituency)|Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.79%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Dumfries and Galloway (UK Parliament constituency)|Dumfries and Galloway]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.48%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Aberdeenshire North and Moray East (UK Parliament constituency)|Aberdeenshire North and Moray East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.61%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Edinburgh West (UK Parliament constituency)|Edinburgh West]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}" |
|[[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]]
|2.62%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Gordon and Buchan (UK Parliament constituency)|Gordon and Buchan]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}{{refn|[[Gordon (UK Parliament constituency)|Gordon]] was won by the SNP in 2019, but is notionally an Conservative seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|3.39%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale (UK Parliament constituency)|Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.26%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk (UK Parliament constituency)|Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.84%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Orkney and Shetland (UK Parliament constituency)|Orkney and Shetland]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}" |
|[[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]]
|5.41%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Edinburgh South (UK Parliament constituency)|Edinburgh South]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|10.18%
|
|
|}
=== Plaid Cymru ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Plaid Cymru]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Plaid Cymru Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/plaid-cymru |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Ynys Môn (UK Parliament constituency)|Ynys Mon]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|3.48%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Caerfyrddin (UK Parliament constituency)|Caerfyrddin]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.25%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Llanelli (UK Parliament constituency)|Llanelli]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|9.53%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Caerphilly (UK Parliament constituency)|Caerphilly]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|14.59%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Pontypridd (UK Parliament constituency)|Pontypridd]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|17.87%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Neath and Swansea East (UK Parliament constituency)|Neath and Swansea East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.70%
|
|
|}
=== Green Party ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Green Party of England and Wales]], [[Green Party Northern Ireland]] and [[Scottish Greens]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Green Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/green |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/2024040...ctionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/green |archive-date=7 April 2024 |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Bristol Central (UK Parliament constituency)|Bristol Central]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.23%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Isle of Wight West (UK Parliament constituency)|Isle of Wight West]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|19.30%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Edinburgh North and Leith (UK Parliament constituency)|Edinburgh North and Leith]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|20.26%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[West Tyrone (UK Parliament constituency)|West Tyrone]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Plaid Cymru}}" |
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|20.53%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Dunfermline and Dollar (UK Parliament constituency)|Dunfermline and Dollar]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|21.35%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Frome and East Somerset (UK Parliament constituency)|Frome and East Somerset]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|21.61%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Isle of Wight East (UK Parliament constituency)|Isle of Wight East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|21.70%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Hampstead and Highgate (UK Parliament constituency)|Hampstead and Highgate]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|21.99%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[East Kilbride and Strathaven (UK Parliament constituency)|East Kilbride and Strathaven]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|22.24%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Livingston (UK Parliament constituency)|Livingston]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|22.34%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Bathgate and Linlithgow (UK Parliament constituency)|Bathgate and Linlithgow]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|22.46%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Edinburgh South West (UK Parliament constituency)|Edinburgh South West]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|22.60%
|
|
|-
! colspan="7" |Other seats Greens are targetting<ref>{{Cite news |last=Walker |first=Peter |date=2023-10-05 |title=Greens head to Brighton targeting four seats at next election |url=https://www.theguardian.com/politic...righton-targeting-four-seats-at-next-election |access-date=2024-05-05 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB |issn=0261-3077}}</ref>
|-
|82
|[[Waveney Valley (UK Parliament constituency)|Waveney Valley]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|26.45%
|
|
|-
| -
|[[North Herefordshire (UK Parliament constituency)|North Herefordshire]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
| -
|
|
|}
=== Northern Ireland parties ===
Target seats requiring swings of under 10%:
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="4" |[[Ulster Unionist Party]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=UUP Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/uup |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[Fermanagh and South Tyrone (UK Parliament constituency)|Fermanagh and South Tyrone]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|0.49%
|-
|2.
|[[South Antrim (UK Parliament constituency)|South Antrim]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|3.56%
|-
! colspan="4" |[[Sinn Féin]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=Sinn Fein Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/sinn-fein |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[Upper Bann (UK Parliament constituency)|Upper Bann]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|8.05%
|-
! colspan="4" |[[Democratic Unionist Party]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=DUP Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/dup |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[North Down (UK Parliament constituency)|North Down]]
|[[Alliance Party of Northern Ireland]]
|3.09%
|-
|2.
|[[Belfast North (UK Parliament constituency)|Belfast North]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|3.88%
|-
|3.
|[[South Down (UK Parliament constituency)|South Down]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|9.06%
|-
|4.
|[[West Tyrone (UK Parliament constituency)|West Tyrone]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|9.20%
|-
! colspan="4" |[[Social Democratic and Labour Party]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=SDLP Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/sdlp |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[South Down (UK Parliament constituency)|South Down]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|1.80%
|-
! colspan="4" |[[Alliance Party of Northern Ireland]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=Alliance NI Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/alliance-ni |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[Belfast East (UK Parliament constituency)|Belfast East]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|2.91%
|-
|2.
|[[Strangford (UK Parliament constituency)|Strangford]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|7.07%
|-
|3.
|[[East Antrim (UK Parliament constituency)|East Antrim]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|7.96%
|-
|4.
|[[Lagan Valley (UK Parliament constituency)|Lagan Valley]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|8.12%
|}
== Notes ==
<references group="note" responsive="1"></references>
== References ==
{{Reflist}}
== See also ==
* [[List of target seats in the 2019 United Kingdom general election]]
* [[List of target seats in the 2017 United Kingdom general election]]
* [[List of target seats in the 2015 United Kingdom general election]]
{{2024 United Kingdom general election}}
[[Category:Future elections in the United Kingdom]]
[[Category:Lists of marginal seats in the United Kingdom by election]]
Okumaya devam et...
{{short description|none}}{{Use dmy dates|date=May 2024}}
The [[next United Kingdom general election]] will be held before 28 January 2025. These are the target seats for each of the political parties, according to results from the [[2019 United Kingdom general election|previous election in 2017]].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Leach |first=Anna |last2=Hoog |first2=Niels de |title=UK general election: the seats the Tories will lose if the polls are right |url=https://www.theguardian.com/politic...l-election-uk-opinion-polls-seats-tories-lose |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=the Guardian |language=en}}</ref> Due to boundary changes following the [[2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies]], these target seats are determined by the [[Notional results of the 2019 United Kingdom general election by 2024 constituency|notional results of the previous election]] using the [[List of United Kingdom Parliament constituencies (2024 to present) by region|new constituencies]] as if they were contested in 2019.<ref>{{Cite web |date=2024-01-16 |title=List of general election top target seats, by party |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/snp-lab-conservatives-liberal-democrats-labour-b2479218.html |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=The Independent |language=en}}</ref>
== List by party ==
=== Conservative ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Conservative Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/conservative |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/2024040...lling.co.uk/battleground/targets/conservative |archive-date=7 April 2024 |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Warrington South (UK Parliament constituency)|Warrington South]]{{refn|Warrington South was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Labour seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.06%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Coventry North West (UK Parliament constituency)|Coventry North West]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.22%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Kensington and Bayswater (UK Parliament constituency)|Kensington and Bayswater]]{{refn|[[Kensington (UK Parliament constituency)|Kensington]] was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Labour seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.36%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Alyn and Deeside (UK Parliament constituency)|Alyn and Deeside]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.39%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Wirral West (UK Parliament constituency)|Wirral West]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.41%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Beckenham and Penge (UK Parliament constituency)|Beckenham and Penge]]{{refn|[[Beckenham (UK Parliament constituency)|Beckenham]] was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Labour seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.52%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Heywood and Middleton North (UK Parliament constituency)|Heywood and Middleton North]]{{refn|[[Heywood and Middleton (UK Parliament constituency)|Heywood and Middleton]] was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Labour seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.80%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Dagenham and Rainham (UK Parliament constituency)|Dagenham and Rainham]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.80%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Coventry South (UK Parliament constituency)|Coventry South]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.86%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Warwick and Leamington (UK Parliament constituency)|Warwick and Leamington]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.12%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Bedford (UK Parliament constituency)|Bedford]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.19%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (UK Parliament constituency)|Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.31%
|
|
|-
|13
|[[Doncaster Central (UK Parliament constituency)|Doncaster Central]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.38%
|
|
|-
|14
|[[Ceredigion Preseli (UK Parliament constituency)|Ceredigion Preseli]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}{{refn|[[Preseli Pembrokeshire (UK Parliament constituency)|Preseli Pembrokeshire]] was won by the Conservatives in 2019, but is notionally a Plaid Cymru seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Plaid Cymru}}" |
|[[Plaid Cymru]]
|1.40%
|
|
|-
|15
|[[Rawmarsh and Conisbrough (UK Parliament constituency)|Rawmarsh and Conisbrough]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.55%
|
|
|-
|16
|[[Chesterfield (UK Parliament constituency)|Chesterfield]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.61%
|
|
|-
|17
|[[Oldham East and Saddleworth (UK Parliament constituency)|Oldham East and Saddleworth]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.62%
|
|
|-
|18
|[[Warrington North (UK Parliament constituency)|Warrington North]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.63%
|
|
|-
|19
|[[Canterbury (UK Parliament constituency)|Canterbury]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.89%
|
|
|-
|20
|[[Halifax (UK Parliament constituency)|Halifax]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|1.99%
|
|
|}
=== Labour ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Labour Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/labour |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/2024041...tionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/labour |archive-date=10 April 2024 |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Burnley (UK Parliament constituency)|Burnley]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.13%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Leigh and Atherton (UK Parliament constituency)|Leigh and Atherton]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.33%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[High Peak (UK Parliament constituency)|High Peak]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.54%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Bangor Aberconwy (UK Parliament constituency)|Bangor Aberconwy]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.77%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Wolverhampton West (UK Parliament constituency)|Wolverhampton West]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.92%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Bury South (UK Parliament constituency)|Bury South]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.94%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Bury North (UK Parliament constituency)|Bury North]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.20%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Bolton North East (UK Parliament constituency)|Bolton North East]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.28%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Watford (UK Parliament constituency)|Watford]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.35%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Chingford and Woodford Green (UK Parliament constituency)|Chingford and Woodford Green]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.47%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Wycombe (UK Parliament constituency)|Wycombe]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.58%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Birmingham Northfield (UK Parliament constituency)|Birmingham Northfield]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.68%
|
|
|-
|13
|[[Leeds North West (UK Parliament constituency)|Leeds North West]]{{refn|Leeds North West was won by Labour in 2019, but is notionally a Conservative seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.80%
|
|
|-
|14
|[[Stroud (UK Parliament constituency)|Stroud]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.03%
|
|
|-
|15
|[[Keighley and Ilkley (UK Parliament constituency)|Keighley and Ilkley]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.11%
|
|
|-
|16
|[[Stoke-on-Trent Central (UK Parliament constituency)|Stoke-on-Trent Central]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.11%
|
|
|-
|17
|[[East Lothian (UK Parliament constituency)|East Lothian]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|2.15%
|
|
|-
|18
|[[Whitehaven and Workington (UK Parliament constituency)|Whitehaven and Workington]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.17%
|
|
|-
|19
|[[Gedling (UK Parliament constituency)|Gedling]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.22%
|
|
|-
|20
|[[Walsall and Bloxwich (UK Parliament constituency)|Walsall and Bloxwich]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.40%
|
|
|}
=== Liberal Democrats ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Liberal Democrat Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/liberal-democrat |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/2024040...g.co.uk/battleground/targets/liberal-democrat |archive-date=7 April 2024 |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Carshalton and Wallington (UK Parliament constituency)|Carshalton and Wallington]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.64%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[North East Fife (UK Parliament constituency)|North East Fife]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|0.70%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Wimbledon (UK Parliament constituency)|Wimbledon]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.74%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Sheffield Hallam (UK Parliament constituency)|Sheffield Hallam]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|0.92%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[South Cambridgeshire (UK Parliament constituency)|South Cambridgeshire]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.25%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Cheltenham (UK Parliament constituency)|Cheltenham]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.25%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Mid Dunbartonshire (UK Parliament constituency)|Mid Dunbartonshire]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|1.69%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Cheadle (UK Parliament constituency)|Cheadle]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.09%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Eastbourne (UK Parliament constituency)|Eastbourne]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.11%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross (UK Parliament constituency)|Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross]]{{refn|Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross was won by the Liberal Democrats in 2019, but is notionally an SNP seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|2.64%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Esher and Walton (UK Parliament constituency)|Esher and Walton]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.68%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Guildford (UK Parliament constituency)|Guildford]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.96%
|
|
|-
|13
|[[Lewes (UK Parliament constituency)|Lewes]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|3.71%
|
|
|-
|14
|[[Hazel Grove (UK Parliament constituency)|Hazel Grove]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.18%
|
|
|-
|15
|[[Westmorland and Lonsdale (UK Parliament constituency)|Westmorland and Lonsdale]]{{refn|Westmorland and Lonsdale was won by the Liberal Democrats in 2019, but is notionally a Conservative seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.74%
|
|
|-
|16
|[[St Ives (UK Parliament constituency)|St Ives]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.85%
|
|
|-
|17
|[[Finchley and Golders Green (UK Parliament constituency)|Finchley and Golders Green]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|5.98%
|
|
|-
|18
|[[Cities of London and Westminster (UK Parliament constituency)|Cities of London and Westminster]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|6.05%
|
|
|-
|19
|[[Winchester (UK Parliament constituency)|Winchester]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|7.08%
|
|
|-
|20
|[[Taunton and Wellington (UK Parliament constituency)|Taunton and Wellington]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|7.84%
|
|
|}
=== Reform UK ===
The target seats for [[Reform UK]] come from the results the [[Brexit party|Brexit Party]] had.<ref>{{Cite news |date=2024-02-16 |title=Could Reform UK surge sink Tory election hopes? |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-68314949 |access-date=2024-05-05 |work=BBC News |language=en-GB}}</ref> The party didn't contest Conservative held seats so their target seats based on the 2019 result are primarily in [[North East England]] and [[Wales]].<ref>{{Cite news |last=Penna |first=Dominic |last2=Corfe |first2=Ollie |date=2024-02-28 |title=Six graphs that show Reform UK could be kingmakers at the election |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politic...l-farage-general-election-richard-tice-polls/ |access-date=2024-05-05 |work=The Telegraph |language=en-GB |issn=0307-1235}}</ref>
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Reform UK]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Reform UK Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/reform-uk |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Barnsley North (UK Parliament constituency)|Barnsley North]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|4.50%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Hartlepool (UK Parliament constituency)|Hartlepool]]{{refn|Hartlepool was won by the Conservatives in the [[2021 Hartlepool by-election]]|name=BE|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|5.92%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Barnsley South (UK Parliament constituency)|Barnsley South]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|6.29%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Doncaster North (UK Parliament constituency)|Doncaster North]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|12.82%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Easington (UK Parliament constituency)|Easington]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|14.31%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[South Shields (UK Parliament constituency)|South Shields]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|14.70%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Rotherham (UK Parliament constituency)|Rotherham]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.07%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Normanton and Hemsworth (UK Parliament constituency)|Normanton and Hemsworth]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.19%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney (UK Parliament constituency)|Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.20%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Houghton and Sunderland South (UK Parliament constituency)|Houghton and Sunderland South]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.81%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Caerphilly (UK Parliament constituency)|Caerphilly]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.85%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Kingston upon Hull East (UK Parliament constituency)|Kingston upon Hull East]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|17.46%
|
|
|-
|13
|[[Wigan (UK Parliament constituency)|Wigan]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|18.55%
|
|
|-
|14
|[[Pontypridd (UK Parliament constituency)|Pontypridd]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.09%
|
|
|-
|15
|[[Neath and Swansea East (UK Parliament constituency)|Neath and Swansea East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.38%
|
|
|-
|16
|[[Washington and Gateshead South (UK Parliament constituency)|Washington and Gateshead South]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.60%
|
|
|-
|17
|[[Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley (UK Parliament constituency)|Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.77%
|
|
|-
|18
|[[Jarrow and Gateshead East (UK Parliament constituency)|Jarrow and Gateshead East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.84%
|
|
|-
|19
|[[Torfaen (UK Parliament constituency)|Torfaen]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|20.12%
|
|
|-
|20
|[[Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice (UK Parliament constituency)|Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}{{refn|[[Kingston upon Hull West (UK Parliament constituency)|Hull West]] was won by Labour in 2019, but is notionally an Conservative seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|20.31%
|
|
|}
=== SNP ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Scottish National Party]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=SNP Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/snp |access-date= |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine (UK Parliament constituency)|Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|0.79%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Dumfries and Galloway (UK Parliament constituency)|Dumfries and Galloway]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|1.48%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Aberdeenshire North and Moray East (UK Parliament constituency)|Aberdeenshire North and Moray East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|2.61%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Edinburgh West (UK Parliament constituency)|Edinburgh West]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}" |
|[[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]]
|2.62%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Gordon and Buchan (UK Parliament constituency)|Gordon and Buchan]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}{{refn|[[Gordon (UK Parliament constituency)|Gordon]] was won by the SNP in 2019, but is notionally an Conservative seat under new boundaries|name=|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|3.39%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale (UK Parliament constituency)|Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.26%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk (UK Parliament constituency)|Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.84%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Orkney and Shetland (UK Parliament constituency)|Orkney and Shetland]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}" |
|[[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]]
|5.41%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[Edinburgh South (UK Parliament constituency)|Edinburgh South]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|10.18%
|
|
|}
=== Plaid Cymru ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Plaid Cymru]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Plaid Cymru Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/plaid-cymru |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Ynys Môn (UK Parliament constituency)|Ynys Mon]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|3.48%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Caerfyrddin (UK Parliament constituency)|Caerfyrddin]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|4.25%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Llanelli (UK Parliament constituency)|Llanelli]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|9.53%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[Caerphilly (UK Parliament constituency)|Caerphilly]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|14.59%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Pontypridd (UK Parliament constituency)|Pontypridd]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|17.87%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Neath and Swansea East (UK Parliament constituency)|Neath and Swansea East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|19.70%
|
|
|}
=== Green Party ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |[[Green Party of England and Wales]], [[Green Party Northern Ireland]] and [[Scottish Greens]] target seats<ref>{{Cite web |title=Green Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/green |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/2024040...ctionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/green |archive-date=7 April 2024 |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2019
![[Swing (politics)|Swing]]
required
! colspan="2" |Winning party 2024
|-
|1
|[[Bristol Central (UK Parliament constituency)|Bristol Central]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|16.23%
|
|
|-
|2
|[[Isle of Wight West (UK Parliament constituency)|Isle of Wight West]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|19.30%
|
|
|-
|3
|[[Edinburgh North and Leith (UK Parliament constituency)|Edinburgh North and Leith]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|20.26%
|
|
|-
|4
|[[West Tyrone (UK Parliament constituency)|West Tyrone]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Plaid Cymru}}" |
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|20.53%
|
|
|-
|5
|[[Dunfermline and Dollar (UK Parliament constituency)|Dunfermline and Dollar]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|21.35%
|
|
|-
|6
|[[Frome and East Somerset (UK Parliament constituency)|Frome and East Somerset]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|21.61%
|
|
|-
|7
|[[Isle of Wight East (UK Parliament constituency)|Isle of Wight East]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|21.70%
|
|
|-
|8
|[[Hampstead and Highgate (UK Parliament constituency)|Hampstead and Highgate]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]
|21.99%
|
|
|-
|9
|[[East Kilbride and Strathaven (UK Parliament constituency)|East Kilbride and Strathaven]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|22.24%
|
|
|-
|10
|[[Livingston (UK Parliament constituency)|Livingston]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|22.34%
|
|
|-
|11
|[[Bathgate and Linlithgow (UK Parliament constituency)|Bathgate and Linlithgow]]{{refn|New seat|name=New seat|group=note}}
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|22.46%
|
|
|-
|12
|[[Edinburgh South West (UK Parliament constituency)|Edinburgh South West]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Scottish National Party}}" |
|[[Scottish National Party]]
|22.60%
|
|
|-
! colspan="7" |Other seats Greens are targetting<ref>{{Cite news |last=Walker |first=Peter |date=2023-10-05 |title=Greens head to Brighton targeting four seats at next election |url=https://www.theguardian.com/politic...righton-targeting-four-seats-at-next-election |access-date=2024-05-05 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB |issn=0261-3077}}</ref>
|-
|82
|[[Waveney Valley (UK Parliament constituency)|Waveney Valley]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
|26.45%
|
|
|-
| -
|[[North Herefordshire (UK Parliament constituency)|North Herefordshire]]
! class="unsortable" style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
|[[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]]
| -
|
|
|}
=== Northern Ireland parties ===
Target seats requiring swings of under 10%:
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="4" |[[Ulster Unionist Party]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=UUP Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/uup |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[Fermanagh and South Tyrone (UK Parliament constituency)|Fermanagh and South Tyrone]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|0.49%
|-
|2.
|[[South Antrim (UK Parliament constituency)|South Antrim]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|3.56%
|-
! colspan="4" |[[Sinn Féin]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=Sinn Fein Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/sinn-fein |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[Upper Bann (UK Parliament constituency)|Upper Bann]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|8.05%
|-
! colspan="4" |[[Democratic Unionist Party]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=DUP Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/dup |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[North Down (UK Parliament constituency)|North Down]]
|[[Alliance Party of Northern Ireland]]
|3.09%
|-
|2.
|[[Belfast North (UK Parliament constituency)|Belfast North]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|3.88%
|-
|3.
|[[South Down (UK Parliament constituency)|South Down]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|9.06%
|-
|4.
|[[West Tyrone (UK Parliament constituency)|West Tyrone]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|9.20%
|-
! colspan="4" |[[Social Democratic and Labour Party]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=SDLP Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/sdlp |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[South Down (UK Parliament constituency)|South Down]]
|[[Sinn Féin]]
|1.80%
|-
! colspan="4" |[[Alliance Party of Northern Ireland]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=Alliance NI Targets Seats 2024 - Election Polling |url=https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/alliance-ni |access-date=2024-05-05 |website=www.electionpolling.co.uk}}</ref>
|-
!Rank
!Constituency
!Winning party 2019
!Swing Needed
|-
|1.
|[[Belfast East (UK Parliament constituency)|Belfast East]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|2.91%
|-
|2.
|[[Strangford (UK Parliament constituency)|Strangford]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|7.07%
|-
|3.
|[[East Antrim (UK Parliament constituency)|East Antrim]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|7.96%
|-
|4.
|[[Lagan Valley (UK Parliament constituency)|Lagan Valley]]
|[[Democratic Unionist Party]]
|8.12%
|}
== Notes ==
<references group="note" responsive="1"></references>
== References ==
{{Reflist}}
== See also ==
* [[List of target seats in the 2019 United Kingdom general election]]
* [[List of target seats in the 2017 United Kingdom general election]]
* [[List of target seats in the 2015 United Kingdom general election]]
{{2024 United Kingdom general election}}
[[Category:Future elections in the United Kingdom]]
[[Category:Lists of marginal seats in the United Kingdom by election]]
Okumaya devam et...